By Ian Sherr

(Reuters) – Advanced Micro Devices Inc may make some of its largest inroads into the fast-growing laptop computer market thanks to a new generation of power-efficient chips to be unveiled next week.

People familiar with the matter who work for AMD said the company’s latest microprocessors are expected to be included in 109 mainstream laptop models in the coming months, the company’s best showing during the crucial back-to-school sales season. Last year, AMD’s chips were available in 40 laptop models.

“This is the first time we’ve seen this much attention to our notebooks,” the source said, referencing the company’s laptop chips.

And while shifts in market share are yet to be seen, “typically more design wins dictates more sales,” the source said, adding the company’s offerings are growing steadily across the major PC manufacturers.

The perennial second-fiddle to market giant Intel Corp has struggled to gain market share within laptop PCs, which have outpaced the growth of desktop PCs in recent years.

AMD’s stock has underperformed Intel since the beginning of the year, losing 14.57 percent of its value, where Intel has gained 5.44 percent.

However, AMD’s stock more than doubled off its 52-week low of $3.22 to close Thursday’s session at $8.27 on the New York Stock Exchange.

GROWTH AND RECOGNITION

Early signs are that the new range of chips to be unveiled next week are getting positive responses from top PC makers due to AMD’s attempts to simplify its numerous offerings under its new “Vision” brand, as well as improved battery life and performance across the line, according to one of the sources.

In the first quarter of 2010, AMD represented 12.1 percent of worldwide mobile chip sales, according to IDC. Intel’s market share was 87.8 percent.

While AMD has been slowly gaining market share over the past year for both desktops and notebooks, its strength slipped in the lucrative server market, ending 2009 with 10.1 percent share compared to 13.4 percent in 2008.

Now, AMD says it’s focusing on the consumer segment, which is expected to fuel PC growth.

Latest figures from industry watcher iSuppli peg notebook PC shipments growing 25.5 percent in 2010, to 209.5 million units from last year’s 166.9 million.

The sources also told Reuters that all of the microprocessors in the forthcoming laptops will be matched with AMD’s chipsets — collections of chips that connect the microprocessing brain to other parts of the computer.

That means AMD can collect more revenue for each laptop sold than it can when its microprocessors are paired with chipsets from other companies like Nvidia Corp.

The PC makers expected to feature AMD’s new chips as early as June include Hewlett-Packard Co, Lenovo, Acer Inc, and Dell Inc, the sources said.

(Reporting by Ian Sherr; editing by Carol Bishopric)

(Originally published May 6, 2010 on the wire at Reuters News, here.)

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – To get accurate projections for Intel Corp, Wedbush Morgan analyst Patrick Wang often finds himself hopping on a plane to Asia.

Wang — who normally crafts complex mathematical models and pores over financial statements — finds, in Intel’s case, it helps to use his fluent Chinese to gather information directly from its customers: top computer manufacturers in the Orient.

“They’re just such a large semiconductor company and to get color in terms of the overall scale, you need that,” he said.

Wang and many other analysts’ predicament may underscore why the world’s top chip maker has beaten expectations in six of the last eight quarters. More than 80 percent of its sales are abroad. Analysts estimate over half its revenue comes from less transparent markets such as China, Africa and India.

Many analysts rely on “channel checks” — surveys of vendors and distributors to gauge supply and demand — but Intel’s case is further complicated by the preponderance of “white-box” manufacturers in those emerging markets: local mass producers of unbranded computers.

Unlike more developed markets such as North America and Europe, where large computer manufacturers release regular sales numbers, many Asian, African and South American countries are dominated by smaller local players.

Intel estimates white-box outfits buy 25 percent to 30 percent of all the chips it sells each quarter.

On April 13, Intel is expected to post $9.80 billion in revenue, and earnings of roughly 37 cents per share, excluding items, in the first quarter of 2010, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

“There are countries that analysts tend to overlook because you only have a finite amount of time,” said Real World Technologies analyst David Kanter. “It’s hard to get information there because you’re not going to go to Brazil to talk to a bunch of white-box vendors.”

Yet that’s exactly what many, like Wang, have to do.

RISING DEMAND, LOWER CLARITY

According to Thomson Reuters Starmine, an earnings surprise is likely in the first quarter. Starmine’s SmartEstimate, which places more weight on recent forecasts by top-rated analysts, predicts Intel will post earnings per share about 1 percent above the Street’s average projection.

Demand is rising for computers as more of the world comes online. But many of the Internet’s newest entrants are in locations remote enough that larger manufacturers haven’t yet established a presence, so their market is instead flooded with small generic manufacturers — the veritable black hole of sales into which analysts rarely see.

“It’s so diverse and there are so many different channel players in all different segments in so many different countries, and that’s what makes it complicated to put a sticker on,” admitted Maurits Tichelman, Intel’s director of channel sales.

Markets tend to become easier to read as the industry develops. Insiders at both Intel and Advanced Micro Devices Inc say consumers in developing markets tend to prefer white-box computers, but as their quality of life improves, so, too, does their hunger for portable devices.

Laptops tend to be the domain of major brands, so visibility into sales channels typically improve. Companies like Hewlett-Packard Co, Acer Inc, Toshiba Corp, Dell Inc and Apple Inc all report data that help analysts peer into Intel’s sales volumes.

But if multinationals don’t — or can’t — immediately move in, dominant local players rise instead. After all, Intel’s Tichelman said, Lenovo Group started as a local Intel partner in China; now it’s the world’s No. 4 computer maker.

IDC analyst Shane Rau said the sheer size of the Chinese market, and the country’s own efforts to build as many computer parts as possible within its borders, is leaving another opportunity for surprise.

IDC employs dozens of analysts on the ground, providing first-hand knowledge of the market. But if demand were to surge or drop abruptly, analysts could still miss it, he said.

“There are so many little channel players out there that it’s not entirely clear where all the processors are going.”

Hence Wang’s willingness to cross half the globe from his base in New York to Shanghai.

On a chilly November day in 2009, the 29-year-old sat in a taxi in bumper-to-bumper traffic, preparing for a meeting with product managers for several distributors and, of course, an appointment with Intel.

But even that may not be enough.

“There’s no way to get a good cross section of how those sales are doing,” he said. “You’ll never get a full picture of things.”

(Editing by Edwin Chan and Richard Chang)

(Originally published Sunday, March 28 on the wire at Reuters News, here.)

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – Stellar results from Intel Corp could signal brighter tech earnings results in coming weeks, but analysts warn stocks themselves may be stuck in a short-term correction.

Intel shares fell more than 3 percent even after analysts from Credit Suisse, Raymond James and JMP Securities, among others, raised their price targets on the stock. JMP Securities and Thinkequity raised their ratings to “outperform” and “buy” respectively.

The broader market was down on Friday as losses from JP Morgan Chase & Co helped drag the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite down 1.24 percent.

Wedbush Morgan analyst Patrick Wang expected a short-term correction for Intel and many other semiconductor stocks as Wall Street locks in profits after a solid fourth-quarter showing from the world’s largest chipmaker.

“Buy on the rumor, sell on the news,” he said, adding that semiconductor stocks have had a good run when put in the perspective of downgrades from both Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch before Intel reported stellar earnings.

“There’s no rhyme or reason behind the weakness here except that expectations are up and people are taking profits,” Wang said.

(more…)

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – As Microsoft Corp’s Windows 7 release approaches, early reviews are generally positive. But so were reviews for Windows Vista just before its launch.

In the months leading up to Windows 7′s release this Thursday, publications from ComputerWorld to the New York Times have written favorable assessments, praising, in particular, its increased speed and compatibility with older computers.

But Vista got high marks before its release as well, with writers back then praising a new visual design — and glossing over quirks that later became common gripes.

“I was the editor of PC World at the time that review was done and yes, I wish in retrospect we’d held to somewhat a higher standard,” said former Editor-in-Chief of PC World, Harry McCracken, who now blogs on his own site, Technologizer.

After its release in 2007, Vista — which runs on roughly 20 percent of the world’s PCs made by the likes of Hewlett-Packard Co, Acer and Dell Inc — went on to become a roundly criticized and unpopular product, with many opting to stick to the aging Windows XP instead.

But to have read the reviews at the time, one would have thought Vista was certain to be a success.

(more…)

By Ian Sherr

CHICAGO (Reuters) – Twenty years ago, the idea that technology would be at the center of business was still part of the future. Computers were just starting to land on desks as fledgling companies like Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc said their products would change the way we work.

Back then, Michael Malone co-authored a book called “The Virtual Corporation,” describing the future as adaptive, driven by technology and global in reach.

Now, in the age of constant communication and social networking, Malone has written “The Future Arrived Yesterday, the Rise of the Protean Corporation and what it Means for You” (Crown Business, $27.50) as a kind of update.

(more…)

By Ian Sherr

The popular social networking website has a new champion among its brands: Starbucks.

With a combination of recent social networking promotions and front-page ads, the Seattle-based mega coffee company has attracted more than 3.6 million fans to reportedly passed Coca-Cola to become the most popular brand on Facebook.

(more…)

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (KCBS) — As the number of swine flu cases increases and public fear heightens, Internet thieves are taking advantage of the hype by sending out e-mail spam with ads for antiviral drugs and more.

Note, while I was not allowed to voice the piece, I reported, produced and wrote the script.

(By Ian Sherr. Originally aired May 2, 2009 on KCBS News Radio, and republished on the web here)

By Ian Sherr

Part I:

Part II:

This project represents the majority of my work while interning at KCBS between January and May of 2009. I organized, produced, edited and implemented this multimedia project from beginning to end.

See the full centennial website, here.

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (AFP) – Balancing checkbooks and relying on paper bank statements is so last century.

Over the past two years, websites such as Mint, Buxfer, Geezeo and Wesabe are wooing users with powerful online money management tools and the promise of access to their financial information from anywhere in the world.

And it’s working.

(more…)

By Ian Sherr

SAN FRANCISCO (AFP) – If the Phoenix Lander comes back to life on Mars, Twitter users could be among the first to know.

NASA gave the historic Space Age mission an Internet Age spin by adding a Twitter page, enabling the robotic interplanetary explorer to answer the hot micro-blogging website’s trademark query: “What are you doing?”

(more…)